The extremist attack on February 14, which killed 40 CRPF personnel in Pulwama, was a heart attack. The pieces of bus left after the explosion and parts of the body lying far away were very terrible. Within a few hours, Pakistan-based Jaish-e-Mohammed took responsibility for the attack and the way this attack was shown on Indian media and social media, it became an atmosphere of anger and grief across the country.
In Delhi, the Prime Minister paid homage to the dead body of the soldiers who had come to Coffin, which saw the resentment among the people in view of the TV. This indignation led to increased pressure on the government to do something. The most vigorous and provocative things that are being said in these are ‘mouth break answer’ and ‘blood transfusion of blood’. A TV channel had demanded the death of 100 soldiers in the ratio of one hundred to one hundred, instead of killing 40 soldiers.
Is war between India and Pakistan necessary? Looking at the mood of people after the Pulwama attack, what is it mandatory and will it solve a big and complex issue such as the Pakistan-backed extremism?
I think the possibility of giving a military response to India is very high. However, when and how it will happen is a subject of considerable speculation and it is considered every night on some TV channels.
But, will there be some change in the stimulating environment after the Pulwama attack? I am scared, but not because it is natural that in response to any military action undertaken by India, Pakistan will also respond and stress will also increase.
At the same time, the two countries are full of nuclear power and because of this the global community will have to intervene in this war and then any kind of arbitration will have to be done.
But, military action will not solve the main problem. Groups such as Jaish-e-Mohammad have got protection in Pakistan and an Indian youth from Kashmir can be prepared to take such deadly and dangerous steps. The reality is that India is facing a fierce battle from Pakistan since 1990 and this war is being run through extremists. Due to which India has to face extremist attacks.
You can see the terrorist attacks in India in the past 25 years. This includes the attack on the Indian Parliament in December 2011 which happened in the Vajpayee government. After this, in November 2008, Manmohan Singh’s government had a terrorist attack on Mumbai and now in February 2019 the troops were attacked in Pulwama.
The extremist organizations such as Lashkar-e-Toiba and Jaish-e-Mohammad have been funded by the Pakistani intelligence system i.e. ISI and the first attack in J & K in April 2000. At that time, 15 Corps Headquarters of the Indian Army was targeted at Srinagar. I want to convey that the Pulwama is a horrific and many know-taker attack but it is not the first extremist attack. At the same time, looking at the current conditions, it is not even last.
The reason for my saying is that the internal socio-political situation of Jammu and Kashmir. You must read about the disagreement and annoyance of the Kashmiri youth. Some separatist leaders have taken advantage of this disagreement with the cooperation of cross border.
After the incident of Burhan Wani (the Kashmiri youth who was killed), the condition of the valley got worse. Deterioration of the situation reveals that there are stone-throwing incidents on security forces and local Kashmiris involved in security forces are killed on holidays. Sadly for the Modi Government, the alliance between the BJP and the PPP in Mehbooba Mufti in Jammu and Kashmir also did not produce the desired results.
Right now the governor’s rule in Jammu and Kashmir and the two local parties of the state PDP and Farooq Abdullah are not able to find political solution and accept dissent in the state. This situation of Jammu and Kashmir will get worse in the event of war. Any kind of military action will only cause loss of life and property. Army jawans and ordinary people will die.
Very soon Pakistan will increase hostility and the possibility of an economic strike can not be ruled out after this. At the same time, looking at the proximity of the major Indian hydrocarbon facility near Pakistan along the border with Pakistan, it can not even dismiss the possibility of permanent loss to these assets. In short words, the actual war will be ever to be offset by bloody, expensive and human / economic damage. Regrettably, if India wins in the war with Pakistan, it will not solve Kashmir problem. Rather, the war will strengthen the position of the army inside Pakistan and anti-India groups.
But, this does not mean that India does not have any way and she is helpless to withstand such extremist attacks in the same way. There are diplomatic alternatives and there are some favorable economic-financial circumstances that the international community can accept.
Recently the FATF (Financial Action Task Force) reviewing fundraising and terrorist financing has been placed in the gray list in the meeting in Paris. This means that Pakistan will be affected by loans from IMF or World Bank. These are the paths that can be used.
As far as military capabilities are concerned, India needs to strengthen its overall intelligence system. This difference has been told by the analysts since the Kargil war of 1999, but still the focus is still to be given. As in fashion, some secret actions can be made but they do not need to be made public.
Now to see what happens in the coming days. Lok Sabha elections are going to be held and efforts will be made to show it, but it is hoped that the country should not go towards war for electoral gain. However, democracy is notorious for doing so. Remember America’s former President George Bush and the 2003 Iraq war … However, these are all things to say.
(image credit: Fair Observer)